What is the net economic impact of the proposed Trans Mountain pipeline?
This page builds on information from a Tsleil-Waututh Nation report that assesses the proposed Trans Mountain pipeline and tanker project. You can read and download the full report here.
The proposed Trans Mountain pipeline would have a negative economic impact. In fact, the proposed pipeline is a net economic risk and cost to the Canadian economy, which would become a burden to the Canadian public (Allan, 2016, p. 4).
(FROM “NEED FOR, COMMERCIAL FEASIBILITY, AND ECONOMIC IMPACT OF THE TRANS MOUNTAIN EXPANSION PROJECT”, 2016, p. 3 and 4):
The net economic impact of the proposed pipeline becomes negative when:
- A fulsome scope of issues is considered, which extends beyond the private economic benefits of crude oil producers and includes direct economic costs and opportunity loss;
- Reliable and accurate pipeline and marine toll rates inform the analysis for both the Project and rail transport relied upon in the absence of the Project;
- Supply projections that reflect current market conditions and climate change commitments are developed and adopted;
- Crude oil prices based on market conditions are adopted;
- Realistic expectations regarding market demand and potential market penetration inform the assessment;
- Appropriate models reflect economic impact are relied upon; and
- Double counting of benefits does not take place.
The proposed pipeline would be a net negative economic cost, as it would likely not be used and useful over its lifetime: Current market conditions suggest that the proposed pipeline would be run at below its break-even point or even below its shutdown point (Allan, 2016, p. 32).
Because the proposed pipeline project would have a net negative economic impact, the project’s financial risks outweigh the time and money it would take to be implemented.
We have the chance to focus on a sustainable economy by the stopping the proposed Trans Mountain pipeline. Click here to learn more.
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